nastrojki-indikatora-macd.png In fact, the MACD is another one. It should be categorized as an indicator type, but because of its close relationship with the moving average system. Therefore brought together in this chapter. As mentioned earlier that The system uses two moving averages. Usually gives a slower signal but because the average movement is smoother thus making it possible to filter false signals well less error than Gerald Appel tried to find A system that will play a good part in filtering false signals. And meanwhile It had to give a faster signal than the two moving averages, which eventually became the source of the MACD. Appel noted that In the two moving average system, before the two mean lines close to intersect. (That is, it sends a buy or sell signal). The two lines will run closer together. Until finally intersecting As the two lines approach each other, the distance between the two lines shrinks by default. Therefore, he proposes to plot the distance between the two moving averages as the MACD line when the moving averages cross. When the short moving average line crosses the long moving average upward (Buy Signal in a two-line average system), the MACD crosses the 0 line upward, and when the short moving average line crosses the long moving line downward (Sell Signal), the MACD crosses the 0 line down. Appel proposes using the 12-day EMA (Smoothing constant = 0.15) as the short-term average and the 26-day EMA (smoothing constant = 0.075) as the long-term average. MACDpicwiki.gif MACD = EMA(12)-EMA(26) From the formula, you can see that this MACD is a special case of the aforementioned price oscillator, and by plotting the MACD line, it can be seen that this MACD line can change its trend, In some cases. Times, although the price is still rising. But the distance between the two moving averages has decreased, causing the MACD to trend downward. This causes a divergence depending on the price, or in other words, The price and the machine (MACD) trend in the opposite direction, so the MACD can give a signal of a change in direction. In addition, the principle of moving average can be applied to the MACD as a trading signal. Appel suggests using the dotted line of the 9-day MACD with a smoothing constant of 0.2 as a signal, If the MACD crosses its 9-day EMA. Upward, it is a buy signal, but if the MACD crosses the 9-day EMA downwards, it is a signal to buy. A sell signal Therefore, MACD has two levels of trading signals. The first level is a fast signal level. This is based on the intersection of the MACD line with its 9-day moving average. The second level is a level that gives a slow but sure signal: MACD crosses the 0 line, because this signal is the same as the system. Two moving average lines. The zero line can also be used as support or resistance. Because the 10-day ema does not fall through the Zero line down and can also bounce up It is equal that the sell signal does not occur. Plus, there is buying pressure or another support, so some people use it as a point to buy stocks again. But if it goes through That means by then the Zero line will become resistance.
moving-average-of-oscillator_6.jpg The formula used to calculate is Price Oscillator = short term MA - long term MA It is a type of indicator, which is actually should be mentioned in the indicator section, but that is mentioned in this section Because this kind of tool contributes to determining whether Has the price crossed the moving average yet? Questions arise in your mind. Must be a matter of what! Looking at the picture, I still don\u0027t know. Price crosses the moving average or the moving average crosses the line Another moving average? The answer is that Sometimes the price and the moving average line It\u0027s pretty close to each other. Even gaze It\u0027s not that I can tell with my mouth full of words that it has been cut up or cut down. Believe me Because I see it quite often. Well! You probably already want to know that What formula is this indicator calculated from? And what shape? Example pictured above. In the lower frame is the indicator, in this case the price oscillator. For the lower frame it is a movement. Of the stock price as well as a 20 and 5 day simple moving average. How are the two parts related? As for the price oscillator, it\u0027s actually the price oscillator we\u0027re talking about here. It\u0027s not something new. I said this because creating a price oscillator, from the formula it can be seen that It is the difference between 2 moving averages with different periods. Therefore, we must specify the period for calculating 2 moving averages with different periods into the program. Which here are 10 and 25 days (to be in line with the lower frame for comparison). Must also tell the program to calculate in a simple way The machine will manage to complete the image creation. As you can see, there is a squiggly line and a zero line. The squiggly line is actually the 5 day moving average (sma), while the zero line is a simple moving average (sma). 20 days, but instead the 20 day moving average (sma) wobbles It will be straightened by the handler and placed at the center by let the 5 day moving average (sma) wobble instead. The distance of the 5 day moving average (sma) to the zero line is still equal to the distance of the 5 day sma and the 20 day sma in the upper frame, right? Think about it carefully, because it\u0027s the same thing. Therefore, the buy point (buy) or the sell point (sell) will be the same point on both the lower and upper frames. But considering whether they intersect or not, it will be easier because the machine will calculate positive, zero or negative values clearly. Which we can retrieve because if the value is positive, it means that the 5 day sma line cuts the 20 day sma line up, but if it is negative, it means that the 5 day sma line cuts the 20 day sma line down The distance between the 5 day sma line and the Zero line can indicate support and resistance. For example, around the 1st ellipsis line, in this case, it will be the resistance line. And stocks have real decline Also notice in the top frame.
technical analysis 02.jpg 👩🎓 🧑🎓 “technical analysis” It is a way to study the behavior of stocks. By using chart for the purpose of forecasting future price trends technical analyst will study the behavior of stocks from the price and trading volume (or trading value), which can be considered is an important source of information for technical analysis However, the strategy in this technical analysis. It’s not that all of a sudden it’s formulated without principles. But actually, there are three concepts or beliefs that this analysis is based on: 1. The behavior of the stock price that is expressed Has absorbed everything that has happened. That means that when economic, political, etc. Changes affect the supply and demand in stocks, of course, will affect the price. Because the price is set from demand and supply of stocks, so if the change occurs up is positive would cause more demand than supply. Or simply say Buying force is greater than Selling pressure. Will result in a price on the other hand, if the changes are negative would produce more supply than demand. (Selling force is greater than Buying pressure) will result in the price going down. 👩🎓 🧑🎓 However, from the foregoing Key data that technical analysts use to analyze will aim at price and volume. So it seems that technical analysts shorten the scope of study analytical model Fundamental Analysis by jumping to study the conclusion of the impact. And pay little attention to the cause, for example, if the price rises, it means a change in various factors. Quite positive But if mold The price has declined. It means change in factors will be in the negative direction while analyzing fundamentals It will delve into the cause. Which is the driving force behind the resulting supply and demand, but both approaches to solve the problem of the direction of the share price that should be the same. 2. The price will continue to move in the same trend. Until the original trend is really gone The above text contains complete in itself to give you an understanding and there is clarity in This is more. For example, you have thrown a ping-pong ball into the air. (Where the ping-pong ball is considered a stock price.)It can be seen that the ping-pong ball will continue to move up. It follows the direction of the throw and the throw (throw) at first, but over time, the momentum gradually weakens (for whatever reason). Will start to slow down until the transmission is exhausted The ping pong ball will fall down. Which the condition of the movement of the ping-pong ball From the throw until before the drop will be in the direction or upward trend. And will begin to change direction to a downtrend (when the ping pong ball starts to fall) after the uptrend has ended. 3. Patterns or behaviors of stocks that have occurred in the past. It can be applied in the present and in the future, or what we might call “history repeats itself” because technical analysis is more dependent on price and volume, which reflect the net effect of the data source. (information set) in the forecast which the price and volume of this transaction as an indicator of psychology in terms of courage or fear, etc., which no matter what era All of the above has never changed. Therefore, the patterns that occurred in the past (reflecting psychology at that time) can still be used today. Including giving conditions or the probability for the direction of the stock”s movement to occur in the future. 👩🎓 🧑🎓 All three of the above can be considered concepts or fundamental beliefs that are the origins of technical analysis. Let you know that Those principles have these ideas behind them. By the chart itself It is not the cause of the stock price rising or falling because of the chart. It’s just something printed on a sheet of paper. But with the technical analysis that you will study further, you have the tools to analyze. This will pull out what the share price wants to tell you that the share price will move in any direction. Or it is time for a trend change to occur.