stochastics-oscillator-percent-k-formula-alpharithms.jpg stochastics-oscillator-percent-d-formula-alpharithms.jpg 💥The Stochastic indicator is commonly used to identify potential buy and sell signals for traders in a sideways market. In a sideways or ranging market, the price tends to move within a relatively narrow range, and the Stochastic indicator can help identify overbought and oversold conditions within that range. 💥For a buy signal, traders will look for the Stochastic indicator to cross above the oversold level, which is typically set at 20. This suggests that the price may have reached a support level and could potentially reverse direction and start moving higher. Traders may then look for confirmation of the buy signal through other technical indicators or price action before entering a long position. 💥For a sell signal, traders will look for the Stochastic indicator to cross below the overbought level, which is typically set at 80. This suggests that the price may have reached a resistance level and could potentially reverse direction and start moving lower. Traders may then look for confirmation of the sell signal through other technical indicators or price action before entering a short position. 💥It is important to note that while the Stochastic indicator can be a useful tool in a sideways market, traders should still consider other factors such as trend, volume, and support/resistance levels before making trading decisions. 💥Stochastic is a very popular tool, especially for sideways markets and those who prefer fast-paced trading. Although many people believe that George Lane invented it, this indicator has actually been around for decades. In the 1960s, it was presented in an article titled \"Stochastic Process\" by the Investor Educators Company, which explained both the theoretical stochastic process of prices and the indicator itself. Despite not being directly related to the theoretical process, the title of the article became part of the indicator\u0027s name. 💥Stochastic is based on the observation that when prices are rising, the closing price tends to move closer to the high or upper boundary of the price range. Conversely, when prices are falling, the closing price tends to move closer to the low or lower boundary of the price range. The tool measures the ratio of the closing price\u0027s distance from the low to the total spread from high to low over the last N days, usually 5 (N = 5). 💥For example, if the calculated %K value is 0.38, it means that today\u0027s closing price is 38% relative to the 5-day trading session. 💥The threshold lines that define the overbought and oversold zone in the Stochastic indicator are typically set at 80 and 20, respectively. As for the Stochastic readings, the best buy signal is said to occur when the %D line is between the 10-15 range, while the best sell signal is formed when the %D line is between the 85-90 range. ⚡️There are 7 popular methods for determining when to buy or sell using Stochastic: 👉Buy when the oscillator drops below the level 20 and resumes above it, and sell when it retraces above level 80 and reverses above it in a downward direction. 👉Buy when %K cuts %D up and sell when %K cuts %D down. This case can also be separated into 2 sub-cases. %K cuts %D where %K (which is faster) crosses first. (So crossing the left side of the %D line is called Left Crossing) and if %K crosses %D, it\u0027s true, but %D (which is slower) crosses the head first (so %K cuts %D on the right side of the line). The %D line is called Right Crossing. In both cases, they read the same value, but the latter is more certain than the former, since the %D is overturned first, indicating a quick change of direction. It\u0027s sweeter and more stable. 👉A divergence can occur when %D is above the 80 line but cannot create a new higher top while the price continues to follow the uptrend. It happens while the %D line is below the 20 line and creates a new higher bottom. This is an early warning. The price may run in that direction. So hurry up and look for an opportunity to sell (when there is a divergence at the top) or buy (when there is a divergence at the bottom) because soon there may be a reversal. This style is also known as a setup. 👉A sharp drop in %K or %D (which George Lane called Hinge) shows that the market is weak. It\u0027s a signal to be careful that tomorrow\u0027s market may change direction. 👉A rapid (faster) and severe (2-12%) deflection of %K is a warning sign that the market is almost exhausted. The original direction of the price can stand well for no more than 2 days. 👉The %K value ranges from 0 to 100, and when %K reaches both extremes, it\u0027s often a signal to collect (%K=0) or drain (%K=100). The price must close at the highest or the lowest for at least 5 consecutive days (see the formula of %K to understand), and the number of days may need to be more if we use the slower Stochastic. 👉If %K crosses %D and tries to turn around to find %D again but does not reach it (or maybe just touching, but not breaking) %D, this confirms a clear signal that it had just intersected a while ago. It\u0027s a sure sign. Stochastic Oscillator 02.png 💥 The example presented below demonstrates the use of Stochastic to determine the timing of entering and exiting trades with the SET index. A downward arrow indicates a buy signal or to hold more, while an upward arrow indicates a sell signal or to gradually make short-term profits (depending on the case). Beside the arrow, there will be the word \"Buy\" or \"Sell.\" It may be noticed that there are moments to buy or sell more than once, which may prompt the question of why there are multiple points. The answer lies in the principle that the tool is only used to find a cutting rhythm (as mentioned earlier), as some people only see an upward trend (without confirmation from another stroke), leading to a possible loss. Due to the quick movement of the pointer, false signals may appear, so some people prefer to use the line crossing rhythm to gradually buy or sell stocks, similar to signaling in terms of moving averages.
💥 The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is an indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder, based on Momentum, but with improvements. With Momentum, two things usually happen: 1. If very unusual past data is used, it can cause a change in Momentum, even though there is very little movement in the current price. 2. There is a problem in finding the standard zone to capture the exact overbought/oversold zone. In Momentum, we only have a zero line, and we can only indicate a level of 1 or 100 (in the case of Rate of Change), but we can\u0027t determine how high the momentum must go up to be called overbought or how low it must go to be called oversold. Hence, the RSI was invented to solve this problem. The calculation formula is as follows: rsi-calc.jpg 💥Provided that RS is the ratio between the 7-day exponential moving average of gains versus the 7-day exponential moving average of losses (regardless of the market), the number of days used. Like any other oscillator, with a small number of days, the RSI is very sensitive to changes, which is suitable for those who like to speculate on a day-to-day basis. Commonly seen values for the number of days used are 4, 9, and 14. In addition, the RSI is also a tool used to measure the strength of a stock price\u0027s fluctuation, whether it fluctuates in a way that is driven or has inertia. The RSI value is always between 0 and 100. If the RSI is high, it indicates that in the past several days, the price has moved higher than it has decreased. A low RSI value indicates that the price, in the past few days, on average, has decreased more than it has increased. The rules that apply to the widely used RSI are as follows: 💥Overbought and Oversold levels are usually set at the RSI level of 70 or higher, indicating that the price has moved up excessively, and 30 or lower, indicating that the price has moved down excessively. Some traders wait for the RSI to cross the 30 line before buying, while others may use the moving average of the RSI as a signal and start trading when the line begins to point up in the oversold area (or pointing down in the overbought area in the case of selling). However, the past behavior of the RSI with its price during that period should also be taken into consideration as there are many instances where it may give erroneous results. Therefore, the mentioned rules should be considered together. 💥Price patterns may not be apparent in the price action but can manifest or be found first in the RSI, which can serve as an early warning signal. Resistance or support levels may also be more prominently seen on the RSI in price, which can act as support or resistance for the RSI. The RSI and price relationship can provide a useful signal for trading decisions. RSI 02.png 💥Divergences occur when, for example, the price breaks through the previous peak, while the RSI fails to do so and remains in its original balance. This is an early warning that there is a chance that the price will decline in the future because the RSI is a measure of momentum. Even if the price continues to rise, the RSI may decline due to price inertia. 💥Divergence signals between the RSI and the price are often seen when the RSI fails or fails to swing. For example, while the RSI is in an upward direction and above the 70 line (overbought), but cannot create a new higher top and a new lower bottom. This is called a Top Failure Swing. Conversely, if the RSI is below the 30 line (oversold) in a downward direction but can create a new higher top and bottom, it is called a Bottom Failure Swing, which will be a reversal signal. 💥We can see that these important signs usually occur in the OB/OS bands. As mentioned above, the RSI performs best in this area. Another important characteristic of divergence in the OB/OS area is that the RSI fails to break the resistance from the tops or the OB/OS bands. If the old base is gone, it will warn of an upcoming reversal.
Momentum 02.png 💥The Momentum and Rate of Change indicators are both momentum indicators that help traders identify the strength of a trend and potential trend reversals. They can be used to find buy and sell signals in uptrends and downtrends. 💥💥In an uptrend, the Momentum indicator should be above its centerline and rising, indicating upward momentum. A crossover of the Momentum indicator\u0027s centerline from below to above can be a buy signal. Traders may also look for bullish divergences between the price and the Momentum indicator, where the price is making lower lows but the Momentum indicator is making higher lows. This can signal a potential reversal and a buy signal. 💥Similarly, in a downtrend, the Momentum indicator should be below its centerline and falling, indicating downward momentum. A crossover of the Momentum indicator\u0027s centerline from above to below can be a sell signal. Traders may also look for bearish divergences between the price and the Momentum indicator, where the price is making higher highs but the Momentum indicator is making lower highs. This can signal a potential reversal and a sell signal. Rate of Change 02.png 💥The Rate of Change indicator is similar to the Momentum indicator and can also be used to find buy and sell signals. In an uptrend, the Rate of Change indicator should be above its centerline and rising, indicating upward momentum. A crossover of the Rate of Change indicator\u0027s centerline from below to above can be a buy signal. Traders may also look for bullish divergences between the price and the Rate of Change indicator, where the price is making lower lows but the Rate of Change indicator is making higher lows. This can signal a potential reversal and a buy signal. 💥💥In a downtrend, the Rate of Change indicator should be below its centerline and falling, indicating downward momentum. A crossover of the Rate of Change indicator\u0027s centerline from above to below can be a sell signal. Traders may also look for bearish divergences between the price and the Rate of Change indicator, where the price is making higher highs but the Rate of Change indicator is making lower highs. This can signal a potential reversal and a sell signal. Momentum \u0026 Rate Of Change 02.png 💥As with any technical indicator, it\u0027s important to use these indicators in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and to consider the overall market conditions and the underlying fundamentals of the security being traded.
Screenshot_19-3.jpg 💥Technical analysis has introduced various statistical and mathematical techniques to apply in analyzing stocks, which have become indicators of stock prices in many forms. In this text, we will discuss some of them, but those interested in other indices can read more as most of them use similar concepts. 💥In the use of technical tools to analyze stocks, oscillators are the commonly used instruments that measure oscillation. Among them are RSI and Stochastic, which can serve as indicators of the market direction in the short to medium term, especially during times when the market moves without direction, also known as sideways or fluctuations within a narrow band. During these times, oscillators can closely follow prices, enabling traders to use them as tools for buying or selling in the short term. Even in market conditions that are not clearly uptrending or downtrending, oscillators can help determine if the trend will continue to strengthen or weaken. 👉Introduction to Overbought, Oversold, Convergence, and Divergence👈 💥Most indicators are derivatives that measure changes in stock prices. A simple analogy is to compare the price to the speed of a car and the indicators to the car\u0027s acceleration when we press the accelerator or decelerate when we press the brakes. Acceleration increases the speed of the car, and we see the acceleration and top speed rise simultaneously. 💥When we release the accelerator, the car continues moving due to inertia, but the acceleration is zero. When we gently tap the brake, the car still moves forward, but the braking force gradually slows it down, and the acceleration becomes negative. In this case, the acceleration and velocity of the car move in opposite directions because the car continues to move forward, but with negative acceleration (becoming a deceleration). 💥Similarly, in the stock market, we may see that the price is still rising, but the market lacks momentum (which is like acceleration), and this is called overbought. This happens when traders have bought stocks to the point where almost everyone is holding stocks, but fewer people want to buy them. During a market crash, everyone rushes to sell, causing the price to drop rapidly due to strong selling pressure. But at a certain point, the selling pressure starts to decrease, and the market becomes oversold, even though the price is still declining. 💥Indicators are also used to measure buying or selling pressure, which determines the direction of the price. Therefore, during a market acceleration, indicators will move in the same direction as the price, which is called Convergence. But when the market starts to run out of acceleration, although the price is still running in the same direction, some indicators will start to move in a different direction from the price, which is what we call Divergence. This serves as a warning signal that the market is starting to run out of steam, and traders need to be careful as the direction may soon reverse (Reversal) since there is no other support to keep the market going. 💥Some traders are very quick and apply other technical principles to the indicator, such as using trendline charting techniques or finding the Moving Average of the indicator as a trading signal, which can give good signals. However, the best approach is to gradually start buying or selling little by little when there is a signal, using other technical tools with the indicator, and gradually buying or selling until the actual signal is confirmed. Some traders overreact to small indicator movements and buy or sell, which is not recommended. 💥General rules for reading indicators include that if the indicator reaches the upper or lower band, known as Overbought and Oversold, it indicates that the stock is overbought or oversold. If the indicator and the price move in different directions, this is usually a warning that a reversal may follow, and an important signal will be generated when the oscillator is in the OB/OS zone. For some indicators, crossing the zero line is a signal to buy or sell according to the trend. 💥Overbought and Oversold refer to indicators used to determine periods when market prices are too high or too low. When the indicator reaches the overbought level, it means that the asset is overbought and the price may start to fall. When the indicator reaches the oversold level, it means that the asset is oversold and the price may start to rise. Traders use these signals to make buying or selling decisions. 💥Overbought and oversold refer to the levels at which an asset\u0027s price has moved too far in a particular direction, either upward or downward. Overbought conditions occur when an asset\u0027s price has increased too quickly and too far, and may be due for a pullback or correction. Oversold conditions occur when an asset\u0027s price has decreased too quickly and too far, and may be due for a rebound or rally. 💥💥Traders can use various technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Stochastic Oscillator, to identify overbought and oversold conditions. In general, when an asset is considered overbought, traders may consider selling or taking profits. When an asset is considered oversold, traders may consider buying or taking a long position. 💥Convergence and Divergence refer to indicators used to determine trend changes. When the convergence indicator starts moving towards the X-axis, it means that the trend is starting to change and a buy can be expected. When the divergence indicator starts moving towards the X-axis, it means that the trend is continuing and a sell can be expected. 💥Convergence and divergence are terms used to describe the relationship between an asset\u0027s price and a technical indicator. Convergence occurs when the asset\u0027s price and the indicator are moving in the same direction, indicating a strong trend. Divergence occurs when the asset\u0027s price and the indicator are moving in opposite directions, indicating a potential reversal in trend. 💥💥Traders can use convergence and divergence to identify potential buy and sell signals. In an uptrend, traders may look for bullish convergence, where the indicator is rising while the price is also rising, indicating a strong trend. In a downtrend, traders may look for bearish convergence, where the indicator is falling while the price is also falling, indicating a strong trend. Conversely, traders may look for bullish divergence in a downtrend or bearish divergence in an uptrend, as these may signal a potential reversal in trend. 💥Traders should use these indicators in combination with other tools and analyze data from multiple sources to obtain the most accurate buy and sell signals.